Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 0.028528 0.030651 0.032784 0.035085 0.037494 0.039939 0.042605
2026-01-04 0.024508 0.027831 0.031292 0.035153 0.039328 0.043694 0.048594
2026-01-11 0.021912 0.025905 0.030172 0.035045 0.040432 0.046178 0.052748
2026-01-18 0.020420 0.024958 0.029911 0.035675 0.042156 0.049178 0.057320
2026-01-25 0.018805 0.023712 0.029174 0.035641 0.043025 0.051135 0.060655
2026-02-01 0.017439 0.022638 0.028531 0.035617 0.043821 0.052940 0.063762
2026-02-08 0.016235 0.021667 0.027928 0.035566 0.044523 0.054589 0.066650
2026-02-15 0.015134 0.020746 0.027321 0.035453 0.045103 0.056057 0.069299
2026-02-22 0.014183 0.019949 0.026810 0.035406 0.045719 0.057536 0.071937
2026-03-01 0.013161 0.019007 0.026074 0.035044 0.045923 0.058504 0.073958
2026-03-08 0.012078 0.017931 0.025123 0.034372 0.045717 0.058956 0.075348
2026-03-15 0.011059 0.016884 0.024162 0.033646 0.045405 0.059250 0.076524
2026-03-22 0.010695 0.016714 0.024336 0.034375 0.046932 0.061823 0.080513
2026-03-29 0.010063 0.016162 0.024009 0.034473 0.047693 0.063497 0.083469
2026-04-05 0.009400 0.015529 0.023544 0.034365 0.048174 0.064815 0.085986
2026-04-12 0.009078 0.015348 0.023656 0.034986 0.049560 0.067235 0.089839
2026-04-19 0.008530 0.014818 0.023280 0.034952 0.050104 0.068612 0.092421
2026-04-26 0.008025 0.014323 0.022927 0.034929 0.050645 0.069975 0.094982
2026-05-03 0.007547 0.013840 0.022568 0.034879 0.051139 0.071269 0.097455
2026-05-10 0.007080 0.013349 0.022177 0.034767 0.051537 0.072436 0.099766
2026-05-17 0.006666 0.012915 0.021847 0.034721 0.052008 0.073686 0.102179
2026-05-24 0.006182 0.012347 0.021303 0.034363 0.052055 0.074388 0.103900
2026-05-31 0.005641 0.011656 0.020556 0.033701 0.051677 0.074533 0.104910